Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 1.666346 1.921238 2.196144 2.513948 2.870462 3.257292 3.707984
2024-11-03 1.263320 1.614856 2.027337 2.543701 3.169165 3.898433 4.808916
2024-11-10 0.978097 1.372993 1.872624 2.543076 3.410031 4.483248 5.900869
2024-11-17 0.763203 1.168227 1.717126 2.500772 3.573624 4.971639 6.908092
2024-11-24 0.603239 1.001337 1.576214 2.444331 3.694696 5.398758 7.857688
2024-12-01 0.501619 0.896472 1.500184 2.458211 3.900311 5.942653 8.993482
2024-12-08 0.415339 0.797147 1.413621 2.438544 4.045597 6.402797 10.035722
2024-12-15 0.362959 0.742759 1.386456 2.501218 4.311894 7.048575 11.379383
2024-12-22 0.310373 0.677387 1.330095 2.506561 4.483802 7.559225 12.549790
2024-12-29 0.283029 0.653324 1.339771 2.619860 4.833936 8.361103 14.204789
2025-01-05 0.255643 0.623793 1.334621 2.704628 5.140461 9.110275 15.817691
2025-01-12 0.219295 0.568637 1.273581 2.681119 5.257926 9.559264 16.977346
2025-01-19 0.195213 0.536672 1.255280 2.738606 5.529114 10.291334 18.660183
2025-01-26 0.172032 0.502236 1.227494 2.775434 5.767507 10.986469 20.328819
2025-02-02 0.149071 0.463286 1.184469 2.776963 5.940380 11.580003 21.862164
2025-02-09 0.126145 0.418928 1.122651 2.732329 6.020724 12.014854 23.147846
2025-02-16 0.105824 0.376265 1.057501 2.671868 6.062952 12.381153 24.331136
2025-02-23 0.092925 0.351215 1.029404 2.687055 6.254054 13.026354 26.035621
2025-03-02 0.079981 0.322490 0.987518 2.665918 6.368066 13.533159 27.515288
2025-03-09 0.072863 0.310211 0.985020 2.733613 6.669294 14.405857 29.696160
2025-03-16 0.064015 0.289702 0.957643 2.739399 6.839179 15.035655 31.458804
2025-03-23 0.060500 0.286937 0.977861 2.861659 7.268358 16.189893 34.248555
2025-03-30 0.056156 0.279990 0.985349 2.953091 7.635982 17.241084 36.888788